Document
Preliminary estimation of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases in Iran : a modelling analysis based on overseas cases and air travel data.
Identifier
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.019
Source
International Journal of Infectious Diseases. v. 94, p. 29-31
Contributors
Zhao, Shi., Author
Lin, Qianying., Author
Cao, Peihua., Author
Lou, Yijun., Author
Yang, Lin., Author
He, Daihai., Author
Country
Netherlands.
Publisher
Elsevier B.V.
Gregorian
2020-05-01
Language
English
English abstract
As of March 1, 2020, Iran had reported 987 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases, including 54 associated deaths. At least six neighboring countries (Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, Afghanistan, and Pakistan) had reported imported COVID-19 cases from Iran. In this study, air travel data and the numbers of cases from Iran imported into other Middle Eastern countries were used to estimate the number of COVID-19 cases in Iran. It was estimated that the total number of cases in Iran was 16 533 (95% confidence interval: 5925–35 538) by February 25, 2020, before the UAE and other Gulf Cooperation Council countries suspended inbound and outbound flights from Iran.
ISSN
1201-9712
Resource URL
Category
Journal articles