Document

Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Makran region with focus on maximum magnitude assumption.

Identifier
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-16-1339-2016
Author
Contributors
Zamora, N., Author
Publisher
Copernicus GmbH.
Gregorian
2015-09
Language
English
English abstract
Despite having been rather seismically quiescent for the last decades, the Makran subduction zone is capable of hosting destructive earthquakes and tsunami. In particular, the well-known thrust event in 1945 (Balochistan earthquake) led to about 4000 casualties. Nowadays, the coastal regions are more densely populated and vulnerable to similar events. Furthermore, some recent publications discuss rare but significantly larger events at the Makran subduction zone as possible scenarios. We analyze the instrumental and historical seismicity at the subduction plate interface and generate various synthetic earthquake catalogs spanning 300 000 years with varying magnitude-frequency relations. For every event in the catalogs we compute estimated tsunami heights and present the resulting tsunami hazard along the coasts of Pakistan, Iran and Oman in the form of probabilistic tsunami hazard curves. We show how the hazard results depend on variation of the Gutenberg-Richter parameters and especially maximum magnitude assumption.
Member of
ISSN
1561-8633
Category
Journal articles

Same Subject

Journal articles
3
0
Rashidi, Amin.
MDPI AG.
2020-09-01